<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">P. R. Roehrdanz</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Climate change, wine, and conservation</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2013</style></year></dates><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Franklin, J.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Davis, F. W.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ikegami, M.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Flint, L. E.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Flint, A. L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Modeling plant species distributions under future climates: how fine scale do climate projections need to be?</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Global Change Biology</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">biodiversity; California; climate change; downscaling; habitat; impacts; spatial resolution; terrain; topography</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2012</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">11/2012</style></date></pub-dates></dates><urls><web-urls><url><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12051/abstract</style></url></web-urls></urls><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">19</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">10</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;Recent studies suggest that species distribution models (SDMs) based on fine-scale climate data may provide markedly different estimates of climate-change impacts than coarse-scale models. However, these studies disagree in their conclusions of how scale influences projected species distributions. In rugged terrain, coarse-scale climate grids may not capture topographically controlled climate variation at the scale that constitutes microhabitat or refugia for some species. Although finer scale data are therefore considered to better reflect climatic conditions experienced by species, there have been few formal analyses of how modeled distributions differ with scale. We modeled distributions for 52 plant species endemic to the California Floristic Province of different life forms and range sizes under recent and future climate across a 2000-fold range of spatial scales (0.008&amp;ndash;16 km2). We produced unique current and future climate datasets by separately downscaling 4 km climate models to three finer resolutions based on 800, 270, and 90 m digital elevation models and deriving bioclimatic predictors from them. As climate-data resolution became coarser, SDMs predicted larger habitat area with diminishing spatial congruence between fine- and coarse-scale predictions. These trends were most pronounced at the coarsest resolutions and depended on climate scenario and species&amp;#39; range size. On average, SDMs projected onto 4 km climate data predicted 42% more stable habitat (the amount of spatial overlap between predicted current and future climatically suitable habitat) compared with 800 m data. We found only modest agreement between areas predicted to be stable by 90 m models generalized to 4 km grids compared with areas classified as stable based on 4 km models, suggesting that some climate refugia captured at finer scales may be missed using coarser scale data. These differences in projected locations of habitat change may have more serious implications than net habitat area when predictive maps form the basis of conservation decision making.&lt;/p&gt;
</style></abstract><work-type><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">primary research article</style></work-type><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">473</style></section></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Saving a Million Species: Extinction risk from climate change</style></title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2012</style></year></dates><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">C. Costello</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The impact of climate change on California timberlands.</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Climatic Change</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2011</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">109</style></volume><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">429-443.</style></section></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Costello, Chris</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Guo, Chris</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ries, Lydia</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Kolstad, Charles</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Snider, Nathan</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The Impact of Climate Change on California Timberlands</style></title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">California</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">carbon credit</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">climate change</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">growth rate</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">timber</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></date></pub-dates></dates><urls><web-urls><url><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">http://www.energy.ca.gov/2009publications/CEC-500-2009-045/CEC-500-2009-045-F.PDF</style></url></web-urls></urls><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Conservation International and University of California Santa Barbara</style></publisher><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">52</style></pages><isbn><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CEC-500-2009-045-F</style></isbn><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;California timber production has been declining in an era of warming, increased wildfires, land use change, and growing emphasis on recreation. Climate change has the potential to further affect the California timber production and prices. The direction and magnitude of change will depend on individual site characteristics and projected climate change. Examples of potential climate change effects include changes in individual tree growth rates, forest dieback, and shifts in species ranges and ecosystem composition. When coupled with changes in global timber prices, which themselves are the result of productivity changes, this leads to important consequences to California&amp;#39;s private timberlands. The ecological responses to climate change are dynamic and these complexities should be considered when predicting future timber production in California. Past attempts have modeled climate change impacts on the timber industry in California but did not consider dynamic land-use change or biologically relevant spatial resolution. This study uses models that project tree species productivity and movement across the landscape under climate change, coupled with economic models of landowner adaptation and returns from multiple harvest strategies. Our results show that under likely price scenarios, climate change will result in an overall decline in the value of harvested timber in the state, with decreases of 4.9 percent to 8.5 percent by the end of the century, depending on climate change scenario, price scenario and management option, with dollar losses totaling up to $8.1 billion. There is great spatial variation within these statewide averages. Many areas of the state show substantial declines in timber value, while a smaller number of areas show modest increases in value, under price scenarios that reflect the impact of climate change. If prices are not affected by climate change, more areas experience gains in value. Management options influence the degree of loss, indicating that programs fostering adaptation to climate change may pay important economic benefits. Declining timber value corresponds disproportionately to areas already experiencing conversion of timberlands to housing or agriculture. Policy measures to stem conversion of timberlands due to climate change may warrant consideration.&lt;/p&gt;
</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Radhika Dave</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Porter P. Lowry</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lowry, I.I.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sandy Andelman</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Michele Andrianarisata</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Climate change adaptation for conservation in Madagascar</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Biology Letters</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2008</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">4</style></volume><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">5</style></issue></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Protected areas and climate change.</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Year in Ecology and Conservation Biology</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2008</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1134</style></volume><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">201-212</style></section></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">G. Midgley</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Protected area needs in a changing climate</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2007</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">5</style></volume><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">3</style></issue><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">131-138.</style></section></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">L. A. Hansen</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%"> Designing Landscapes and Seascapes for Change. Climate Change and Biodiversity</style></title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2005</style></year></dates><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">R. A. Betts</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Modeling Impacts of Climate Change on Tropical Forests. Tropical Forest Responses to Climate Change</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">J. Flenley and M. B. Bush</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2005</style></year></dates><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Williams, P.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Andelman, S.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Midgley, G.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Araujo, M.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hughes, G.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Manne, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Martinez-Meyer, E.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Pearson, R.</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Planning for climate change: Identifying minimum-dispersal corridors for the Cape proteaceae</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Conservation Biology</style></secondary-title><short-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Conserv Biol Conserv Biol</style></short-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">area-selection algorithms</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">bioclimatic modeling</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">biodiversity</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">biodiversity conservation</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">connectivity</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Conservation</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">distance</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">distribution models</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">distributions</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">floristic region</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">habitat suitability</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">plant migration</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Protected areas</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">reserve selection algorithms</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">south-africa</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">species persistence</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2005</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2005</style></date></pub-dates></dates><urls><web-urls><url><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;Go to ISI&gt;://000231118600013</style></url></web-urls></urls><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">19</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1063-1074</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Climate change poses a challenge to the conventional approach to biodiversity conservation, which relies on fixed protected areas, because the changing climate is expected to shift the distribution of suitable areas for many species. Some species will persist only if they can colonize new areas, although in some cases their dispersal abilities may be very limited. To address this problem we devised a quantitative method for identifying multiple corridors of connectivity through shifting habitat suitabilities that seeks to minimize dispersal demands first and then the area of land required. We applied the method to Proteaceae mapped on a 1-minute grid for the western part of the Cape Floristic Region of South Africa, to supplement the existing protected areas using Worldmap software. Our goal was to represent each species in at least 35 grid cells (approximately 100 km(2)) at all times between 2000 and 2050 despite climate change. Although it was possible to achieve the goal at reasonable cost, caution will be needed in applying our method to reserves or other conservation investments until there is further information to support or refine the climate-change models and the species&#039; habitat-suitability and dispersal models.</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">G. F. Midgley</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The View from the Cape: Exinction risk, protected areas and climate change</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">BioScience</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2005</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">53</style></volume><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">3</style></issue><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">231-242.</style></section></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">G. F. Midgley</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Climate change-integrated conservation strategies</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Global Ecology &amp; Biogeography</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2002</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">11</style></volume><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">485-495.</style></section></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">G. F. Midgley</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Conservation of Biodiversity in a Changing Climate</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Conservation Biology</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2002</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">16</style></volume><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1</style></issue><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">11-15.</style></section></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The Role of a Global Protected Areas System in Conserving Biodiversity in the Face of Climate Change</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Climate Change and protected areas</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2001</style></year></dates><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Hannah, L.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">D. Lohse</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A Preliminary Inventory of Human Disturbance of World Ecosystems</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ambio</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1994</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">23</style></volume><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">246</style></section></record></records></xml>